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Stocks slide, US yields climb amid hawkish Fed, China tensions

2023-07-06 13:50
By Kevin Buckland TOKYO Asia-Pacific stock markets fell on Thursday, extending a decline in global equities, after the
Stocks slide, US yields climb amid hawkish Fed, China tensions

By Kevin Buckland

TOKYO Asia-Pacific stock markets fell on Thursday, extending a decline in global equities, after the U.S. Federal Reserve confirmed its hawkish stance, while an escalating trade battle between China and the United States also dampened sentiment.

U.S. 10-year Treasury yields climbed to a fresh four-month high in Tokyo trading, and the dollar extended its rise against major peers.

An exception was the yen, which strengthened against its U.S. rival as traders fretted about the potential for currency intervention.

Japan's Nikkei share average slumped 1.6%, continuing its retreat from 33-year highs.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng tumbled more than 3%, while mainland blue chips lost 0.7%.

Australia's stock benchmark slid 1.2% and Taiwan shares retreated 1.6%.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares dropped 1.3%, following a 0.4% decline for the world index on Wednesday.

U.S. E-mini stock futures pointed to a 0.4% lower restart for the S&P 500, following its overnight 0.2% drop.

U.K. FTSE and German DAX futures each fell about 0.4%

While almost all Fed officials agreed to hold interest rates steady last month, minutes of the meeting released on Wednesday showed the vast majority expected policy would eventually need to tighten further.

Money market traders place 85% odds on a quarter point hike on July 26, and about a 50/50 chance of another by November.

Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen begins a trip to China just as Beijing restricted exports on metals used in semiconductors, adding that the controls were "just a start".

"Sentiment has soured for equity bulls as Sino-U.S. relations take another step backwards and investors adjusted to the fact that the Fed remains more hawkish than hoped," said Matt Simpson, a market analyst at City Index.

"The Fed's decision to pause was not actually unanimous and most members are up for further hikes, so this could cap upside over the near-term."

Ten-year Treasury yields climbed as high as 3.965% in Tokyo trading, after surging some 9 basis points overnight.

The U.S. dollar index - which measures the currency against six peers, including the euro and yen - extended Wednesday's 0.23% gain to be up as much as 0.13% to 103.46 in Asian trading.

Against the yen, though, the dollar dropped, despite the currency pair's traditional close relationship with long-term U.S. yields.

The dollar declined 0.54% to 143.875 yen on Thursday, undoing all of the previous day's 0.13% advance.

Japanese officials have sounded almost daily warnings over yen weakness as it approached the 145 level that triggered intervention last autumn. The dollar briefly touched 145.07 yen on Friday.

"The yen is kind of stuck because the Japanese government has raised the alarm level against the currency," said Naka Matsuzawa, chief strategist at Nomura Securities in Tokyo.

"Verbal intervention only works for a couple of weeks" without actual currency intervention, "and it's only a matter of time before the yen is going to reach that 145 level" amid rising U.S. yields and the Bank of Japan's continued dovish stance, he said.

"The market has no doubts now about the Fed's policy stance, which is about as hawkish as it can get," Matsuzawa added. "They are ready to hike multiple times, and the bar is quite low."

Meanwhile, oil prices slipped in Asian trade on Thursday as fears of a sluggish demand recovery in the world's top crude importer China offset the prospect of tighter supply, with top exporters Saudi Arabia and Russia cutting output.

Brent crude futures dipped 25 cents, or 0.3%, to $76.40 a barrel, after settling higher 0.5% the previous day.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude fell 7 cents, or 0.1%, to $71.72 a barrel, after closing 2.9% higher in post-holiday trade on Wednesday to catch up with Brent's gains earlier in the week.

(Reporting by Kevin Buckland; Editing by Sonali Paul)