Ukraine ‘has one month to hold knife to Crimea’s throat’ and force Putin into peace talks
Ukraine has just four weeks to hold a "knife at Crimea's throat" and force Vladimir Putin into peace talks before Russia's army recoups over winter, experts have warned. Professor Mark Galeotti, academic and author of more than 20 books on Russia, said Volodymyr Zelensky’s troops need to move another 10 miles southwards to be in range of striking key Russian supply routes in Crimea. He claimed this is the only “serious” chance Ukraine has to force Mr Putin into negotiations before the Russian army has the opportunity to regroup over winter. “They’ve got about another month of campaign season. But if things slow down, the Russians will use the winter to regroup themselves and the whole thing will start up again in spring,” the professor, who teaches Slavonic and East European Studies at University College London, told The Independent. “If Ukraine can move another 10 miles southwards, Russian road and rail links used to resupply Crimea will be in range of their artillery. “The only serious chance Ukraine has of forcing Putin to the negotiating table is by holding a knife at Crimea’s throat. But I think that is going to be next year’s campaign.” It comes after President Zelensky admitted that Ukraine’s counteroffensive was progressing slowly, but insisted that more territory was being reclaimed every day. “The situation is tough,” he told CBS’s 60 Minutes. “We stopped the Russians in the east and started a counteroffensive. Yes, it is not that fast but we are going forward every day and de-occupying our land.” Ukrainian generals claimed they had recaptured the eastern villages of Klishchiivka and Andriivka near Bakhmut over the weekend. Earlier this month, Ukrainian forces also breached Russia’s first line of defence near Zaporizhzhia in the south of the country, taking the village of Robotyne. This Zaporizhzhia area is a “key” battlefield, as breaking through would allow Ukrainian forces to strike out towards the Sea of Azov, Professor Galeotti said. This would allow Ukrainian forces to disrupt and destroy supply lines linking Rostov-on-Don, in Russia, and the Crimean Peninsula, which was annexed in 2014. But Dr Marina Miron, a postdoctoral researcher at King’s College London war studies department, it was "very unlikely" there would be a major breakthrough for Ukraine this year as its "window of opportunity" was now closing ahead of winter. “The rain is already starting,” she said. “The weather will get a lot worse.” Ukraine launched its counter-offensive in June to push Mr Putin’s forces out of land captured by Russia after the invasion began in February 2022, striking along the 600-mile frontline in areas including the Bakhmut, Kharkiv and Zaporizhzhia regions. But as the offensive slows it is now “touch and go” as to whether Ukraine can make a “real, pivotal difference” in the war by the end of this year, Dr Miron said. “The main effort will be to sustain troops throughout the winter. Ukraine will not be in a position to carry on the offensive,” Dr Miron added. She explained Ukraine had a “heavy logistical” footprint with German Leopard and British Challenger 2 tanks, but they would be harder to use in wetter, muddier conditions, to assist a full breakthrough. “They’re just not designed for those types of terrains,” she said. “They would risk losing more equipment getting bogged down in winter conditions than waiting it out until getting F-16 fighter jets.” In August, Denmark promised the delivery of 19 F-16 jets to Ukraine. Six will be delivered by the end of this year, followed by eight in 2024 and five in 2025, according to Danish prime minister Mette Frederiksen. However, Ukraine admitted it could take up to six months to train its military to use the jets and they would not be in operation this winter. With fears growing around wavering Western support as the war draws on, Dr Miron said: “Neither side have an infinite supply of money or manpower. But Russia does have time. And that’s what they are betting on.” Read More Ukraine-Russia war – live: Putin’s brigades ‘suffer heavy losses’ as counteroffensive advances around Bakhmut Kremlin says Russia and China must edge closer to counter Western efforts to contain them US defense chief urges nations to dig deep and give Ukraine more much-needed air defense systems
2023-09-19 23:28
UK Inflation Slows to Two-Year Low, Bolstering Rate Cut Bets
UK inflation tumbled to the lowest level in two years, firming up bets that the Bank of England
2023-11-15 18:29
What are the charges against Nelson Thomas? 'The Challenge' star charged with DUI 6 months after near-fatal car collision in Texas
Nelson Thomas admitted to consuming 'two-three mixed alcoholic drinks' before the crash
2023-11-01 02:19
UN chief 'shocked' by letter from Sudan's military ruler asking to replace UN's special envoy in Sudan
UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres was "shocked" by a letter he received on Friday from Sudan's military ruler General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan regarding the UN's envoy to Sudan, according to his spokesman Stephane Dujarric. The reaction follows reports that Burhan asked that the envoy be removed.
2023-05-27 09:16
S&P 500, Nasdaq fall on Middle East conflict
By Shashwat Chauhan and Ankika Biswas The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq fell on Monday as a deepening
2023-10-09 22:15
US announces $345 million military aid package for Taiwan
The U.S. has announced a new $345 million military aid package for Taiwan
2023-07-29 06:53
Pakistan seen targeting fiscal deficit of 7.7% next fiscal year - source
ISLAMABAD (Reuters) -Pakistan's government is seen targeting a fiscal deficit of 7.7% of GDP for the 2023-24 fiscal year, a
2023-06-09 20:51
Sky-High Hedge Costs Push Big Japan Insurers to Riskier Avenues
Japan’s biggest life insurers have ramped up their use of longer-dated currency hedges to a record to escape
2023-05-31 14:59
UAW rips Biden administration on US loan to Ford joint venture battery plant
By David Shepardson WASHINGTON (Reuters) -United Auto Workers (UAW) union President Shawn Fain on Friday harshly criticized the U.S. Energy
2023-06-24 02:28
Black and Latino students lack access to certified teachers and advanced classes, US data shows
America’s Black and Latino students were at a disadvantage in nearly every measure of education opportunity in the 2020-21 school year
2023-11-16 03:22
Kosovo: Why is violence flaring up again?
There are fears of renewed hostilities between ethnic Serbs and Albanians in Kosovo
2023-05-31 23:26
Chinese Citizens Sue Florida Over Ban on Home Purchases
The American Civil Liberties Union sued Florida over a law championed by Governor Ron DeSantis that bars most
2023-05-23 05:57
You Might Like...
Bryan Kohberger was suspended from high school law enforcement program after complaint by female students
Migrant arrivals in Spain's Canaries smashes 2006 record
Thousands scramble to evacuate capital of Canada's Northwest Territories as more than 200 'unprecedented' wildfires blanket region
Sunak to Comply With Court Over Boris Johnson’s WhatsApp Trove
Katie Holmes fears bringing back hit drama series 'Dawson's Creek' as 'today’s world might tarnish it'
As temperatures rise, mosquitos are also on the move. Scientists worry that could mean more malaria
Alex Danzig: Fears grow for much-loved historian kidnapped by Hamas
Australia’s Hawkish Interest-Rate Hike Explained in Four Charts